Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.008212 0.009709 0.011518 0.013902 0.017016 0.021031 0.026747
2025-03-30 0.006076 0.007743 0.009989 0.013350 0.018476 0.026428 0.040717
2025-04-06 0.005000 0.006681 0.009111 0.013081 0.019863 0.032051 0.059003
2025-04-13 0.004421 0.006138 0.008769 0.013403 0.022175 0.040367 0.090736
2025-04-20 0.004088 0.005873 0.008759 0.014220 0.025674 0.053369 0.154082
2025-04-27 0.003776 0.005578 0.008622 0.014744 0.028813 0.068227 0.261855
2025-05-04 0.003448 0.005202 0.008264 0.014724 0.030719 0.081666 0.420812
2025-05-11 0.003176 0.004879 0.007943 0.014688 0.032590 0.097338 0.710637
2025-05-18 0.002908 0.004530 0.007514 0.014307 0.033373 0.110208 1.149015
2025-05-25 0.002642 0.004155 0.006981 0.013568 0.032810 0.116903 1.670814
2025-06-01 0.002432 0.003861 0.006571 0.013041 0.032734 0.126616 2.701147
2025-06-08 0.002329 0.003754 0.006524 0.013394 0.035793 0.160285 8.869306
2025-06-15 0.002185 0.003569 0.006324 0.013407 0.038098 0.199263 62.558589
2025-06-22 0.002011 0.003314 0.005946 0.012878 0.038156 0.223553 1684.656127
2025-06-29 0.001878 0.003125 0.005688 0.012621 0.039270 0.264954 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001799 0.003034 0.005631 0.012928 0.043181 0.364573 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001755 0.003010 0.005720 0.013705 0.050228 0.592840 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001698 0.002950 0.005719 0.014203 0.056510 0.944153 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001618 0.002836 0.005572 0.014184 0.059823 1.328546 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001545 0.002730 0.005431 0.014149 0.063168 1.925542 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001463 0.002599 0.005212 0.013788 0.063948 2.477932 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001373 0.002444 0.004916 0.013085 0.061639 2.653995 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001298 0.002318 0.004684 0.012583 0.060672 3.086893 NaN